Call WDW and ask for a quote, they will give you give you what they think the 2010 price will be but actual room rates are not out yet. They will let you book with a $200 deposit I believe.
We have had bounce back offers in our room a couple of times but the discount was about the same as the rest of them out there. However, we wouldn’t have had to play the waiting game. There were blackout dates for holidays and popular times like spring break and Christmas.
Keith from Mouseketrips runs this site and his own Disney travel site, you might call his and see what he can do for you.